Too Afraid to Trade ? Ireland's Caution on Taiwan

Authoritarian regimes have become more effective at co-opting or circumventing the norms and institutions established to support basic liberties, and at subsidizing others who wish to do the same. They have succeeded in shifting global incentives, jeopardizing the consensus that democracy is the only viable path to prosperity and security, while encouraging more totalitarian approaches to governance.


In particular, the regimes of China and Russia have gained enormous power in the international system, and freer countries have seen their established norms challenged and fractured. Many international organizations including Freedom House say the current state of global freedom should raise alarm among all who value their own rights and those of their fellow human beings. 


One of the countries on the very frontline in this fight to maintain freedom and democracy is Taiwan. 


Located just 150km off the coast of China in the Western Pacific, Taiwan has been a democracy since the 1990s. In fact it is frequently referred to as a beacon of democracy in Asia and ranks just as high as many European countries in democracy indices.


Taiwan faces cyber attacks, disinformation campaigns and every shade of grey warfare you can imagine on a daily basis. The source of these attacks is the People's Republic of China (PRC) which is controlled by the Chinese Communist Party or CCP.  They claim Taiwan as their sovereign territory and seek to annex it, but have never occupied or controlled Taiwan for even a second in their entire existence.


The CCP have for years tried to weaken international support for Taiwan to further isolate the country, coercing its diplomatic allies and trading partners as well as interfering in international organizations to block Taiwan’s membership. 


Thankfully the EU’s engagements with Taiwan have remained relatively strong and although the EU and Taiwan do not have diplomatic relations, trade and cultural links are very active. 


The EU considers Taiwan a reliable and valued like-minded partner in Asia and is Taiwan's largest foreign investor and third largest trading partner. Bilateral trade in goods runs at around 50 billion Euros annually and the EU operates a Trade Office in Taipei along with 17 EU member states.

As Ireland prepares to assume the presidency of the European Union in the second half of 2026, questions are emerging about Dublin’s cautious approach to Taiwan. Why does Ireland remain an outlier among EU member states in its engagement with Taipei — and to what extent does China’s influence in Ireland and fear of offending China shape this stance?

In this episode of Perspectives with Neilo, we speak with John McGuinness, Fianna Fáil TD for Carlow–Kilkenny, Leas-Cheann Comhairle of Dáil Éireann, and Chairman of the Ireland–Taiwan Parliamentary Friendship Association. He joins us to discuss Ireland’s evolving relationship with Taiwan and his recent visit to the island.

Deputy McGuinness shares insights from his meeting with President William Lai (賴清德), who welcomed Ireland’s National Semiconductor Strategy and suggested that Taiwan and Ireland could deepen cooperation in this strategically important sector. We also explore other areas of potential partnership — from trade and agri-food exports to education and innovation — and ask whether Ireland is missing valuable opportunities by keeping its distance, particularly at a time when many countries in the world are diversifying trade links.

Finally, we discuss Micheál Martin’s leadership of Fianna Fáil, examining how his top-down style may be influencing government policy on Taiwan. And we look at how the Ireland–Taiwan Parliamentary Friendship Association is working to raise awareness of Beijing’s ongoing efforts to isolate Taiwan — despite unwarranted objections from the Chinese Communist Party.

Date of Recording: November 7th, 2025




President of Taiwan, William Lai (賴清德) meets with Deputy Speaker John McGuinness TD, leader of a cross-party delegation from Ireland's parliament in Taipei on July 22nd, 2025. 
[Photo courtesy of Office of the President, Republic of China, Taiwan]


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Additional Information on the topics covered in this episode:

  • European Economic Trade Office in Taiwan - website


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#Ireland, #Taiwan, #China, #EU, #ForeignPolicy, #Trade, #Semiconductors, #IrelandTaiwanRelations, #IrelandChinaRelations, #EUForeignPolicy, #ChipStrategy, #IrelandPolitics, #JohnMcGuinness, #WilliamLai, #Geopolitics, #internationalrelations, #GlobalEconomy, #podcast, #politicalpodcast

Rare Earths, Real Pressure - China's Coercive Push on U.S.-Taiwan Policy

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has long pursued a multi-pronged strategy to annex Taiwan — a campaign that has intensified in recent years. From near-daily military incursions into Taiwan’s Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) and territorial waters to provocative blockade exercises around the island, Beijing is steadily increasing pressure. Alongside these military threats, the CCP is waging a parallel campaign of propaganda, disinformation, and grey-zone activities — including infiltration of Taiwan’s government, military, and broader society.

Now, in a new twist, reports suggest that China’s leader Xi Jinping may use upcoming trade talks with the United States to pressure President Donald Trump into publicly opposing Taiwanese independence. On the surface, this might seem far-fetched — especially with Trump often cast as the “Dealmaker-in-Chief.” So why does Beijing believe it can gain the upper hand?

In this episode, we explore China’s strategic response to U.S. tariffs and examine the leverage the CCP holds in its complex relationship with Washington. We also assess how Trump-era foreign policy is shaping U.S.-Taiwan relations — and how Beijing is exploiting global uncertainty to push forward its authoritarian ambitions.

Typhoon Ragasa Relief Donations - click here for info via Taipei Times


Date of Recording: October 5th, 2025.

Picture shows a hypothetical pile of 'rare earth elements' with a Chinese flag supplanted in it signifying how China is the dominant global supplier of rare earth elements, a position it is using to advance its authoritarian objectives. Listen to our podcast at www.pwneilo.com
Rare Earths, Real Pressure - China's Coercive Push on US-Taiwan Policy

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Additional Information on the topics covered in this episode:

  • Warsaw Forum 2025 - YouTube (Hsu Szu-Chien)  


Credits:


Sound Soul (This Logo Reveal) by Diamond_Tunes via Pixabay


Chinese Asian Music by SoundGalleryDT via Pixabay


Translator voice by ElevenLabs.io


#ChinaTaiwan, #TaiwanStrait, #TaiwanUnderThreat, #ChinaThreat, #USChinaRelations, #IndoPacific, #XiJinping, #Taiwan, #TaiwanIndependence, #CCP, #Geopolitics, #TradeWar, #RareEarths, #Trump, #ChinaLeverage, #Podcast, #Talk, #PodcastAlert

Why You Should Care About Taiwan

 Our daily news feeds are dominated by active conflicts—but what about the tensions simmering just below the surface, with global stakes just as high?

One of the most strategically significant, yet underreported flashpoints in the world is the Taiwan Strait—a 180km-wide body of international water separating Taiwan from mainland China. It's here that grey zone activity by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is escalating on a near-daily basis.

In this episode of Perspectives with Neilo, we explore:

  • The CCP’s claim on Taiwan—and why it’s historically weaker than Britain's claim on Ireland,

  • Taiwan’s democratic identity and its people’s overwhelming rejection of CCP rule,

  • The rise of grey zone warfare, military drills, and coercive tactics by China,

  • The impact of U.S. strategic ambiguity and why the U.S. might be pulled into a war with China,

  • Why Europe and the West must care about Taiwan’s future.

My guest is Bill Emmott (X: @bill_emmott) —author of Deterrence, Diplomacy and the Risk of Conflict over Taiwan (2024), former editor-in-chief of The Economist, and one of the most respected voices in international affairs. We recorded this episode on the sidelines of the MacGill Summer School in July.

We dive deep into the risks of conflict, the future of U.S.-China relations, and how the world can avoid sleepwalking into a war over Taiwan.


Date of Recording: July 18th, 2025.

 Map shows the locations of China’s military drills around Taiwan. The blue blocks represent war games held in 2022, the yellow and red blocks represent the “Joint Sword 2024” drills. Ref info - see Dive Deeper.


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Music:
even darker variation by SamuelFJohanns via Pixabay
Cinematic Piano Ambient Trailer Soundtrack by Open-Music-for-Videos via Pixabay


#Taiwan #China #Geopolitics #IndoPacific #ForeignPolicy #USChinaRelations #SouthChinaSea #TaiwanStrait #PLA #CCP #Podcast #PodcastEpisode #BillEmmott #GreyZoneWarfare #StrategicAmbiguity #TaiwanDefense #TaiwanSovereignty #ChinaThreat #MacGill2025 #TaiwanMatters #StandwithTaiwan #TaiwanInFocus


EU-China Trade Tensions - Interview with Finbarr Bermingham

The European Union’s trade deficit with China has doubled over the past decade, fueling growing frustration in Brussels over what officials describe as a flood of low-cost Chinese products into the EU. 


Beijing’s continued support for Putin’s illegal invasion of Ukraine is also a major sticking point. The EU’s top diplomat, Kaja Kallas called China the “key enabler” of Putin’s war and urged Beijing to halt its support to Russia’s military-industrial base. In response, China has indicated that it does not want to see Russia lose the war.

It was not surprising then that a summit in Beijing between top EU and Chinese leaders at the end of July produced few tangible results.

 

Just ahead of the summit, I spoke with Finbarr Bermingham (X:@fbermingham), Europe Correspondent for the South China Morning Post, to explore what’s really driving the tensions in EU–China trade. We discussed the growing trade imbalance and how China’s rare earth export controls and unwavering support for Russia are reshaping the relationship.


Date of Recording: July 18th, 2025.




Picture shows Chinese President Xi Jinping on the left with EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on the right. Both leaders pictures are in black and white set against the background of their regions flags which are in colour. Listen to Perspectives at www.pwneilo.com
Chinese leader, Xi Jinping (L) and
EU Commission President, Ursula von der Leyen (R)


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    Taiwan's Hot Summer - Recalls, Tariffs and Tensions

     It has been a sweltering few months in Taiwan's political scene with partisanship intensifying in domestic politics, increased cross-strait tensions and unfolding US tariffs.

    At the end of June, I was fortunate to meet up with two of Taiwan's leading columnists and political analysts from the central city of Taichung.

    Courtney Donovan Smith (X: @donovan_smith ) is a staff columnist with the Taipei Times whose regular column, Donovan's Deep Dives shares in-depth analysis on everything about Taiwan's political scene and geopolitics. He is also the central Taiwan correspondent for ICRT FM Radio. 

    Michael Turton (X: @michaelturton ) is also a contributing columnist for the Taipei Times. His column, Notes from Central Taiwan provides incisive commentary informed by three decades of living in and writing about his adoptive country.

    I met up with Donovan and Michael to talk about the lead up to the Great Recall vote, President Lai's leadership, party dynamics, trade pressures and what it all means for Taiwan's future.

    Date of Recording, June 24th, 2025.



    Picture shows Taipei cityscape with the sun shining through an orange sky as Taipei downtown bakes in the summer heat.


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    #TaiwanPolitics, #CrossStraitTensions, #PresidentLai, #TaiwanPodcast, #USChinaTrade, #USTariffs, #TaiwanRecall, #PartisanPolitics, #EastAsiaPolitics, #TaiwanNews, #TaipeiTimes, #ICRT, #MichaelTurton, #CourtneyDonovanSmith, #NeiloPodcast, #AsiaGeopolitics, Geopolitics 


    Taiwan's Great Recall - July 26th Results

    On July 26th, nearly one-third of Taiwan’s electorate were eligible to vote in the first wave of what’s being called Taiwan's Great Recall (大罷免) — a rarely used mechanism allowing voters to dismiss nationally elected lawmakers midterm. This marks the first time the process has been deployed on such a large scale with 24 lawmakers from the Kuomintang (KMT) or Chinese Nationalist Party on the ballot.

    The vote result is being closely watched as it has the potential to alter the balance of power in Taiwan’s parliament, which has seen months of political deadlock between the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) government and the opposition KMT and their allies.

    In this episode we dive into the outcome of that vote. We break down the results, highlight the key takeaways, discuss the reactions and review how these results are likely to shape the remaining term of Taiwan’s current administration.


    Date of Recording: July 26th, 2025




    The title Taiwan's Great Recall - July 26th Results sits in front of a backdrop of a picture of protesters and campaigners gathered on a street in Taiwan late in the evening as they all pay attention to a speaker on a stage in the distance.




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